AC Milan vs Bologna: prediction & betting odds 14 May 2025

The final match of the Coppa Italia between Bologna and Milan will take place on May 14 at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Bologna vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Bologna

Vincenzo Italiano's side had no trouble in the semi-finals against Empoli, confidently defeating their opponent over two legs (3-0 and 2-1). As a result, Bologna has won four consecutive matches in the Coppa Italia and conceded only one goal in this tournament's current edition. Notably, the team last won the national cup trophy in 1974, with their best achievement since being four semi-final appearances.

  • The team has not lost in regular time in their last eight Coppa Italia matches (6 wins, 2 draws).
  • The club has kept a clean sheet in 90 minutes in 7 of their last 8 matches in this tournament.
  • No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 8 of Bologna's last 11 Coppa Italia matches.

Predicted lineup for Bologna (4-5-1)

Federico Ravaglia – Charalampos Lykogiannis, Sam Beukema, John Lucumi, Lorenzo De Silvestri – Remo Freuler, Giovanni Fabbian, Nikola Moro, Riccardo Orsolini, Nicolo Cambiaghi – Thijs Dallinga.

Defender Emil Holm and forwards Jens Odgaard and Dan Ndoye have recovered from injuries and are preparing for the match.

Milan

Sergio Conceicao's side was stronger than Inter in the semi-finals. In the first match, Milan drew (1-1), and in the return leg, they confidently defeated their opponents 3-0. As a result, the club scored at least three goals for the third time in this Coppa Italia edition and secured their second big victory. Moreover, the team leads in goals scored in the current tournament (13). Notably, Milan last won the national cup in the 2002/03 season.

  • The club has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 Coppa Italia matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
  • Both opponents scored in 90 minutes in 5 of the team's last 6 matches in this tournament.
  • At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Milan's last 6 Coppa Italia matches.

Predicted lineup for Milan (3-4-3)

Mike Maignan – Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic – Theo Hernandez, Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Alejandro Jimenez – Rafael Leao, Tammy Abraham, Christian Pulisic.

Defender Fikayo Tomori and midfielder Youssouf Fofana have recovered from injuries and are ready to play.

Referee

Maurizio Mariani (Italy)

Matches – 18 (Serie A, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 11%.

Bologna vs. Milan: Match Prediction

Both teams have shown their best in attack in the current Coppa Italia, so in my opinion, we should expect a high-scoring game in the final match. Bologna has scored ten goals in four matches of this tournament. Moreover, the club has scored in 11 of their last 14 Coppa Italia matches, with Bologna players netting at least twice in eight of those encounters.

Despite their solid defensive play in this tournament, Vincenzo Italiano's team will find it challenging to neutralize the opponent's attack, which, as mentioned above, is the highest-scoring team in this Coppa Italia edition. Furthermore, Milan scored three goals in matches against Roma and Inter, teams known for their strong defense this season. It's also worth noting that Milan's scoring streak in the Coppa Italia is six matches long.

I expect a high number of goals in this match, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals

AC Milan — Bologna betting tips 14 May 2025

By the end of the season, AC Milan have improved their results in the domestic league and reached the Italian Cup final. They beat Bologna (3:1) in Serie A last Friday. Now, they’re favourites to get the title.

The side will lack their key players in the final. Holm, Ndoye, Odgaard, Pedrola and Erlić will be unable to help their team. Bologna lack attacking ideas without Ndoye. They have had 1.93 xG in the last three Serie A games (third worst record). Bologna have not seen strong rivals in the Italian Cup, except for Atalanta (1:0) in the quarter-finals. Their participation in the final is already a success.

AC Milan have won 5 out of their last 6 games in all tournaments since April 11, scoring 14 goals. With their current head coach, Milan have created most xG in the Serie A (34.37). Since the beginning of 2025, they have 33 points (5th best). In the semi-finals, AC Milan beat Inter Milan in the second leg (3:0), with Jović scoring decisive goals.

AC Milan have lost only 1 out of the last 15 head-to-head games since April 2018 (10 games won by AC Milan). Milan are expected at least not to lose this game.

Betting prediction
AC Milan (0)
Cf
Odds
4/5
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AC Milan vs Bologna Odds

Current season

Logo AC Milan Logo Bologna
3.33 GF per game 2.25
0.67 GA per game 0.5
6 Corners per game 4.25
1 Yellow cards per game 0.75

Coppa Italia: previous matches in the tournament

AC Milan
23.04.25
Inter Milan
AC Milan
W
02.04.25
AC Milan
Inter Milan
D
05.02.25
AC Milan
AS Roma
W
03.12.24
AC Milan
Sassuolo
W
More matches
Bologna
24.04.25
Bologna
Empoli
W
01.04.25
Empoli
Bologna
W
04.02.25
Atalanta
Bologna
W
03.12.24
Bologna
Monza
W
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H2H: AC Milan — Bologna

Serie A 2024-2025
09.05.25
AC Milan
Bologna
27.02.25
Bologna
AC Milan
Serie A 2023-2024
27.01.24
AC Milan
Bologna
21.08.23
Bologna
AC Milan
Serie A 2022-2023
15.04.23
Bologna
AC Milan
27.08.22
AC Milan
Bologna
Serie A 2021-2022
04.04.22
AC Milan
Bologna
23.10.21
Bologna
AC Milan
Serie A 2020-2021
30.01.21
Bologna
AC Milan
21.09.20
AC Milan
Bologna
Serie A 2019-2020
18.07.20
AC Milan
Bologna
08.12.19
Bologna
AC Milan
Serie A 2018-2019
06.05.19
AC Milan
Bologna
18.12.18
Bologna
AC Milan
Serie A 2017-2018
29.04.18
Bologna
AC Milan
10.12.17
AC Milan
Bologna
Serie A 2016-2017
21.05.17
AC Milan
Bologna
08.02.17
Bologna
AC Milan
Serie A 2015-2016
07.05.16
Bologna
AC Milan
06.01.16
AC Milan
Bologna
Serie A 2013-2014
13.02.14
AC Milan
Bologna
1
:
0
24.09.13
Bologna
AC Milan
3
:
3
Serie A 2012-2013
19.01.13
AC Milan
Bologna
2
:
1
31.08.12
Bologna
AC Milan
1
:
3
Serie A 2011-2012
21.04.12
AC Milan
Bologna
1
:
1
10.12.11
Bologna
AC Milan
2
:
2
Serie A 2010-2011
30.04.11
AC Milan
Bologna
1
:
0
11.12.10
Bologna
AC Milan
0
:
3
Serie A 2009-2010
06.02.10
Bologna
AC Milan
0
:
0
More matches

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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